It doesn’t have to be that way—it SHOULDN’T
be that way. And this First Common Sense Core Principle of Retirement
Investing is that you need to focus on what you CAN control and not
worry about what you can’t.
I
believe people become scared because they feel they are in a situation
where they don’t have any control of the outcome. The 24-hour news media
has to fight for your attention so they use headlines designed to cause fear. There’s a saying in the media that ‘if it bleeds it leads’ which means they want to start with stories that make someone feel afraid. It’s to THEIR benefit, not yours.
So you
watch the evening news and night after night they are talking about the
crisis in Europe or our country’s deficit or of the latest dive in the
stock market. They show scenes of thousands of people waiting in lines
just to get a chance to try and get a job. There are stories of
middle-class people now having to resort to food banks to feed their
family.
No wonder people are scared! Fear can be paralyzing.
We are
afraid when we sense there is something threatening us and we can’t do
anything about it. There’s nothing you and I can do to solve our
country’s deficit. There’s nothing we can do to solve the crisis in
Europe. We can’t keep the stock market from crashing.
But here
is the key. We CAN control what we will do in each of those situations.
For instance, we can control how we will adjust our investments to
protect us from the threat of the U.S. Dollar declining in value because
we have such a large deficit. We CAN control the risk
associated with different outcomes in Europe by identifying the
possible outcomes, determining the impact each might have on our
investments and knowing ahead of time what we should do.
Successful people recognize they can’t control events, but they can control what actions they will take if an event occurs.
Having a
plan for each of the various situations that might arise will make you
feel more in control and less at the mercy of Fate. Focusing on what you
can control will get rid of the paralysis and enable you to regain your
confidence. You can do this. You can develop an understanding of the
various potential economic threats that exist and determine the best way
to overcome each one. All it takes is a little bit of time and
effort…and I’ll help you along the way.
So, what
are some of the things that you find yourself worrying about? Fear
tends to be nebulous and that makes it hard to overcome. Think through
what is causing your worry and try to identify the specific ways that
the situation or event will affect you. What can you do to help prepare
in case that does happen? Are there things you can do to could prevent
it from happening or mitigate the effects?
Let’s Look At An Example…
One of the biggest fears most retirees have is running out of money.
What is
causing that worry? Is it that you’ve seen the value of your nest egg
take a big hit and you aren’t sure there is enough left to last as long
as you need it to? Is it that your expenses keep going up?
If
that’s the case, the first thing you need to do is to get the facts.
Instead of just worrying whether or not you will have enough money, do
the math so you can find out. There are different free calculators
available on the internet that can help you see how money your money
will last.
By the
way, you don’t have to do all the work yourself. It’s about getting the
information you need, not personally crunching every number. I have a
process where I have identified 54 different threat scenarios. I can
then use statistical testing to determine the probability of success
that someone will have of reaching their goal.
The
point is that you find out the facts. Based on the facts, then you can
develop different plans of action. Let’s say that testing shows that you
will have a better margin of safety if you either reduce your expenses
or increase your income.
- What are steps that you can take to reduce your income?
- Where can you cut costs?
- Would selling your home and moving to something smaller help?
Or maybe
it would be easier to try to increase your income. Is it possible to
get income from doing consulting work or taking a part time job? Is
there a way to make money from hobbies that you enjoy?
Get the idea?
This is just an example, but can you see how engaging your mind,
getting the facts and then brainstorming solutions puts you back in
control? We all feel better about a situation when there is something we
can do about it.
So this first Common Sense Core Principal is to focus on what you can control instead of what you can’t.
Real-Life Example From One Of My Clients.
My job
as a portfolio manager is to put my clients back in control so they can
sleep at night. A few months ago, a wonderful lady in Florida contacted
me because she wasn’t completely satisfied with her current advisor. I’ll call her Sue.
She was
tired of worrying about what might happen if there was another big dip
in the market. She found herself worrying when the evening news would
report on riots in the streets of Greece. She would become afraid when
she’d get emails or information in the mail that our country was going
to collapse and that she should buy gold.
Instead
of just worrying about things she couldn’t control, she decided to focus
on what she could. She started doing research and found out that her
worry was justified because the way her current advisor was managing her
investments, there wasn’t anyone really watching her money from
day-to-day. So she knew that if the market dropped several percent so
would her account.
That research led her to contact me.
She
ended up becoming a client because of the way that I approach managing
investments and the well-defined risk management processes I have in
place to prevent significant losses.
That was about 3 months ago. At the time the markets were doing fine.
Then the
markets started to drop. This was leading up to and shortly after the
2012 elections and the markets would surge one day and plunge the next.
They were a real roller coaster. In the midst of all that uncertainty, a
time when the clients of most advisors are calling them because they
are afraid, Sue sent me an email and this is what it said:
“Jeff, I
just thought you’d like to know that I am no longer squeamish as the
markets continue to tumble up and down. Just knowing you are aware of
my risk tolerance and that should the market go to “Hades in a hand
basket” action will be taken to protect my assets from falling below
that tolerance. No more (as you say) buy, hold, and suffer!”
Sue
doesn’t lying awake at night anymore because she realizes that there are
plans in place regarding how the portfolio will be adjusted based on
which of the various threats we may be facing. She feels in control
because she knows there is someone that is working with her to plan how
we will respond to what lies ahead, prepare for the various possible
outcomes and that is ready to quickly execute those plans as needed.
Sue took
the time to analyze why she was worried and found out that her worry
was justified. She got the facts. Then, armed with the facts, she
figured out how the situation could be remedied and she took action.
If Sue can do it, so can you.
I want
you to be successful and to be able to sleep at night. Focusing on what
you can control and not worrying about what you can’t is the first
Common Sense Core Principles of Retirement Investing.
Sometimes
we allow advertising messages to unduly influence the way we think.
That can easily happen with all the commercials and information about
investing that bombards us. I’ve noticed a subtle shift in investors
attitude toward their money…they seem to lose sight of one very basic
fact—a fact that needs to guide all of their investment decisions.
The second Common Sense Core Principle of Retirement Investing addresses this shift and brings you back to basics. Keep an eye out on this blog for the next posting.
In the mean time please leave any comments you have below and feel free to share this article on social media.
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